The Flying Squirrel Flyer

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Reasons for Hope...Offense

While most "pundits" have the Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic at or near the bottom of the pre-season rankings, there are some reasons for hope. Upon analysis of the Squirrels' draft, a common theme becomes apparent. GM Anson drafted towards youth and potential. Most players on the Squirrels' roster have room to significantly improve their numbers from a season ago, with the obvious exception of Robinson Cano. The following is an upbeat and "good to best case scenario" for the Squirrels' roster this year. Why not? All the negatives are out there...might as well give the fans some hope. (avg/hr/rbi/sb/r/bb)

Offensive Draft Picks
  1. Brett Lawrie- Showed pop, speed, and a maturity at the plate that should carry over to 2012. Will get 550 AB's if healthy. (.285/23/85/30/85/50)
  2. Freddie Freeman- Looks to be more consistent than Heyward and shouldn't suffer much of a sophomore slump. (.290/24/90/5/85/50)
  3. JP Arencibia- Worst case, this is a 20HR/60RBI catcher. Best case, his minor league numbers show improvement in average after a year at each level. (.230/26/80/0/55/35)
  4. Colby Rasmus- Will he ever harness all the talent? Let's pretend this is the year...kind of. (.265/22/75/12/65/55)
  5. J.D. Martinez- A lot of potential here, with a nice season already under his belt in zero pressure Houston. (.290/15/85/2/70/40)
  6. Dayan Viciedo- A forgotten top prospect whose path was cleared by Quentin's departure. Big time power potential and an improving eye. (.268/20/60/3/60/35)
  7. Mike Trout- The much maligned, TOP PROSPECT...already with some MLB experience. The Halos didn't spend all those $$ on Pujols and Wilson to win in a few years. Trout is ready, and Vernon Wells and Bobby Abreu are old and ass. (.274/14/55/28/65/45) OR (.270/18/65/35/85/60)
  8. Robinson Cano- Listed here, because there isn't any room to grow...if anything, he may regress slightly. (.299/25/100/5/100/40)



Extensions
  1. Dan Uggla- Needed a 33 game hitting streak to hit .233 last year. He's better than that. Not monumentally better...but still. (.258/35/102/3/90/65)
  2. Jimmy Rollins- Last year was about right on for Rollins. Expect similar...maybe a slightly better average. (.270/15/70/60/25/55)
When looking at these projected numbers, it is easy to get excited about a potentially powerful team. The question becomes whether or not the team can swipe enough bags and hit for a high enough average to compete in weeks when the power fails. The infield is very likely to produce at the clip listed above, it is the OF that will have to surprise people if the Squirrels are to be anything but an afterthought in 2012. Granted, a lot of things would have to go the right way for this squad to succeed, but that one word comes to mind again...almost a curse word in the eMLB...potential.

Monday, February 13, 2012

2012 Squirrels Projected Lineup and Contracts

C- JP Arencibia--No Contract
1B- Freddie Freeman--3/2014
2B- Robinson Cano--5/2016
SS- Jimmy Rollins--NT--Extension
3B- Brett Lawrie--3/2014
Util- Dan Uggla--3/2012--NT--Extension
OF- Colby Rasmus--No Contract
OF- Mike Trout--2/2013
OF- JD Martinez--No Contract
OF- Jon Jay--No Contract

SP- Adam Wainwright--2/2013
SP- Mat Latos--3/2013
SP- Anibal Sanchez- 2/2013
SP- Chad Billingsley- No Contract
SP- Brett Myers- No Contract
RP- Carlos Marmol- 2/2013
RP- Chris Perez- No Contract
RP- Evan Meek- No Contract
RP- Eduardo Sanchez- No Contract
RP- Henry Rodriguez- No Contract

Bench: 1B Chris Davis, SS Tyler Pastornicky, OF Dayan Viciedo, OF Nate McLouth (3/2013), OF Garrett Jones, OF Jason Bourgeois

Bullpen: SP: Julio Teheran, Danny Duffy, Wade Davis RP: Kris Medlen

The Squirrels are likely to give out eight contracts, garnering them four extensions. The above scenario only indicates seven given contracts.

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

Draft Update--Squirrels Reach...Anson Looks Foolish

Draft Update by beat reporter Daniel D. Tractor

After a solid first four rounds of the 2012 eMLB draft, the Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic have managed to raise some eyebrows with several of their subsequent picks. I had the Squirrels first four rounds graded at A, B, B, A, respectively. It appears to the outsider that perhaps upper management had no plan going into the latter rounds of the draft as questionable pick after questionable pick have been made since the selection of Adam Wainwright.

Round 5: SP Anibal Sanchez- Sanchez has all the makings of an ace, but has never really put it all together. Sanchez slots into the Squirrels rotation as an unspectacular 3rd starter behind Wainwright and Latos, and will either end up being a nice choice or a really poor choice by Anson. Rd 5 Grade- C.

Round 6: RP Carlos Marmol- Anson re-upped another former Squirrel in closer Carlos Marmol. Marmol was one of the last few elite closers left in the draft at this point, and the selection seems justified, but selecting an OFer probably made more sense...and we will get to that later. Round 6 Grade- B-.

Round 7: OF Mike Trout- Anson made what most around the league are calling the worst pick in the draft. This was a reach of epic proportion and is one that this reporter will call a massive mistake. When prodded about the pick, Anson defended himself saying, "The Angel OF is crowded right now, but we believe that Trout will force his way into the lineup whether by his play or by the poor play of a slew of aging alternate options for the Angels. Trout has the makings of an Andrew McCutchen, and we are excited to be in on the ground floor. We truly think he will be a force for us in 2012 and beyond." Bull. Trout is easily a year from producing solid numbers and will likely be a free agent again before he produces enough to merit this selection. This selection was forced by Anson's foolish decision to grab Marmol (a two category contributor at best,) in round 6. Round 7 Grade- F.

Round 8: OF Colby Rasmus- Another reach for an OFer. The Marmol selection comes into play again, as Anson was forced to make two terrible OF selections, and guarantee that the Squirrel 2012 OF will be one of the worst that eMLB has ever seen. Rasmus may have a slight rebound, but at this point in his career, it is clear he was always overrated. Round 8 Grade- D.

Round 9: RP Chris Perez- Perez was a nice value here, and with the terrible selections before, one can understand why Anson would go value here...to save face. Round 9 Grade- B.

Round 10: SP Chad Billingsley- Another pick, and another reclamation project for the Squirrels. Billingsley was once an ace in the making...since, he has fallen to a 4th or 5th starter who will get some K's, but bloat the ERA and WHIP. Once again, IF Billingsley can return to form, he would make a serviceable fourth, but with so many questionable picks, Anson can not assume they are all going to fall his way. Round 10 Grade- C-.

Round 11: C J.P. Arencibia- Average killer Arencibia should provide some good pop, and for what was there as far as catchers, the selection seems ok. Round 11 Grade- B-.

Round 12: RP Evan Meek- Anson re-upped yet another former Squirrel in Evan Meek. Meek was once a dominant reliever, but is coming off a lost 2011. Oh good, another reclamation project...do you see a theme here? Look for Meek to contribute to Holds and K's...but even at his best, he still sapped ERA and WHIP. Round 12 Grade- C+.

Round 13: OF J.D. Martinez- Martinez will hit in the middle of the worst lineup in both MLB and eMLB. Congratulations kid. Martinez should provide good average, minimal pop and limited RBI chances. Another OFer...another question mark. Round 13 Grade- D+.

Round 14: OF Vayan Viciedo- More of the same. Unproven Vayan Viciedo. Viciedo has a lot of pop, but that's about it. He will likely struggle in his first full year, and will disappoint as often as he delights. Round 14 Grade- D.

Round 15: SP Brett Myers- Anson solidified a middle of the road rotation by selecting another Astro in Brett Myers. Myers will K some guys, but will detract from ERA and WHIP, while only contributing mildly to Wins. Round 15 Grade- C-.

With eleven picks left, the Squirrels will easily be picked to finish dead last in division and should be considered high in the running for worst record overall. Overall Draft Grade- D+.

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Squirrels Focus on Youth--Future in first four Rds.

The Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic are in full on rebuild mode, and with that said have focused on youth and the teams future in the first four rounds of the 2012 eMLB Draft. The first pick, was an unlikely one, as projected number one overall pick, Robinson Cano fell to number six. "We we're surprised, and obviously thrilled, to be able to land Robinson without moving up in the draft. He's a superstar and a cornerstone to rebuild the Squirrels for the future around," said GM Adam Anson. Early indications are that Robinson Cano will be the first five year player Anson himself has signed.

In round two, the Squirrels delighted their fanbase by taking young up and coming 3B Brett Lawrie. Of Lawrie, Anson said, "A young .280/20/85/85/20 3B? Yes, please." If Lawrie can build on his rookie campaign, look for big things from Lawrie...think David Wright before he started to suck. Expectations are that Lawrie will be given a two year deal, but a three isn't out of the question.

In round three, the Squirrels were happy to re-up with last year's 1B, Freddie Freeman. Anson smiled when asked about Freeman, "Freddie showed us a lot out there last year. He has a great approach at the plate and an ability to hit to all fields. We think his patience at the plate will only improve based on his minor league numbers, and expect Freddie to contribute solidly in 4-5 categories for several years to come." Look for Freeman to be signed to a two year deal, although depending on Lawrie, a three year deal might land in Freeman's lap.

Breaking from his gameplan to go offense in the first four rounds, Anson went SPer in round four and took ace Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is coming off of a lost 2011, but fortunately was injured in spring training last season, and is expected to be ready to go full tilt by opening day. "The value was just to good to pass up. I think we stole Wainwright," said Anson, "he's a true ace and probably should have gone off the board before a few other SPers that went ahead of him. We're thrilled to pair him up with Latos for the next few years." Look for Wainwright to garner a two year deal and be a solid extension candidate.